Kalshi · Polymarket · Convergence Engine

THE
FAT
PITCH.

When two markets price the same outcome wrong — that's your edge.

Sports Central Command scans Kalshi and Polymarket simultaneously — two independent prediction markets. When both price the same outcome below what the data says, that's a convergence signal. That's the fat pitch.

Kalshi
23.5¢
+
Polymarket
25.5¢
🎯 Model says
27.5% · Fat Pitch
✓ You're in. Signal incoming.

Free for founding members · No card · No waitlist

253 real priced markets Kalshi + Polymarket NHL · NBA · MLB · NFL · Soccer · F1 · Tennis Convergence = both exchanges agree Fat Pitch = 15pp+ edge Edge = 8pp+ edge Watch = 4pp+ tracking Kelly-sized positions CFTC regulated 253 real priced markets Kalshi + Polymarket NHL · NBA · MLB · NFL · Soccer · F1 · Tennis Convergence = both exchanges agree Fat Pitch = 15pp+ edge Edge = 8pp+ edge Watch = 4pp+ tracking Kelly-sized positions CFTC regulated
How It Works

Two Markets.
One Truth.

Kalshi Price
23.5%
The CFTC-regulated exchange prices Colorado to win the Stanley Cup at 23.5¢. $668K in volume. Real money.
+
Polymarket Price
25.5%
An independent decentralized market prices the same outcome at 25.5¢. Two crowds. Same direction. Both wrong.
🎯 Convergence Signal
FAT PITCH
Model: 27.5% · Edge: +3pp · Kelly: $29
When two independent markets both underprice the same outcome, the signal fires. That's the fat pitch.
01
📡
Scan Both Exchanges

Every 60 seconds the engine pulls live prices from Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) and Polymarket (crypto-native). 253 real priced markets across 8 sports.

02
Find the Gap

The model computes the true probability using historical base rates, team strength, and volume signals. When both markets price below model — that's convergence.

03
🎯
Fire the Fat Pitch

Convergence signals are flagged with Kelly-sized position recommendations. Fat pitch = 15pp+ edge. Edge = 8pp+. Watch = tracking. You decide when to pull the trigger.

Coverage

Eight Sports.
Two Exchanges.
One Engine.

🏒
Hockey
NHL · Stanley Cup Playoffs
Kalshi Polymarket
🏀
Basketball
NBA · Finals Futures
Kalshi Polymarket
Baseball
MLB · World Series
Kalshi Polymarket
🏈
Football
NFL · CFP · NCAAF
Kalshi Polymarket
Soccer
EPL · Champions League
Polymarket
🏎️
Formula 1
F1 · Drivers Championship
Polymarket
🎾
Tennis
ATP · WTA · Grand Slams
Polymarket
🥊
MMA / UFC
UFC · Fight Cards
Coming Soon
Live Signal Examples

What the Engine
Actually Finds.

Market
Sport
Kalshi · Poly
Edge
Signal
🎯 Colorado Avalanche win Stanley Cup
🏒 NHL
23.5% · 25.5%
+3.0pp
Convergence
🎯 Carolina Hurricanes win Stanley Cup
🏒 NHL
15.5% · 15.5%
+3.0pp
Convergence
LA Lakers win 2026 NBA Finals
🏀 NBA
— · 18.5%
+4.5pp
Edge
Atletico Madrid win Champions League
⚽ Soccer
— · 22.0%
+3.5pp
Edge
Alcaraz wins 2026 French Open
🎾 Tennis
— · 31.0%
+3.0pp
Edge
Buffalo Sabres win series vs Boston
🏒 NHL
62% · 61%
+2.5pp
Watch

* Signal examples based on live market data. Past signals do not guarantee future edge. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated.

Pricing

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Scale on Signal.

Free
$0
Forever · No card
  • Weekly convergence summary
  • All 8 sports covered
  • Delayed signals (24hr)
  • Signal tier breakdown
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  • Raw signal API feed
  • PrizePicks prop integration
  • Portfolio tracker
  • Priority support
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The Fat Pitch
Is Live.

Colorado and Carolina are both underpriced on Kalshi and Polymarket right now. That's the signal. That's the edge.

✓ You're in. Signal incoming.

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